Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.248912 0.293072 0.340054 0.393487 0.452298 0.514794 0.585964
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.191615 0.251717 0.320109 0.402594 0.498298 0.604822 0.731323
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.144307 0.212002 0.294310 0.399143 0.526566 0.674046 0.855241
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.105004 0.174156 0.264261 0.385356 0.539116 0.723461 0.956769
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.083823 0.155504 0.254829 0.394491 0.578179 0.804536 1.097530
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.062473 0.131922 0.234966 0.386928 0.594053 0.856277 1.203105
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052695 0.123806 0.235196 0.405489 0.643716 0.951158 1.363956
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.040905 0.109478 0.223952 0.406173 0.668400 1.013787 1.484880
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.031769 0.097441 0.214289 0.407596 0.693145 1.076248 1.606142
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025991 0.090355 0.211485 0.418486 0.730882 1.156254 1.751164
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021806 0.085447 0.211548 0.433311 0.774219 1.244285 1.907836
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018255 0.080903 0.211514 0.447570 0.816751 1.331711 2.064807
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013149 0.070575 0.199641 0.442090 0.830379 1.380546 2.172698
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010086 0.064516 0.195029 0.448112 0.861207 1.453788 2.314577
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006886 0.056034 0.184057 0.442120 0.872970 1.500001 2.420184
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004058 0.046241 0.168292 0.426004 0.867696 1.521155 2.491203
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002969 0.042911 0.166510 0.434955 0.902233 1.600191 2.643178
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001675 0.036474 0.155936 0.426389 0.907768 1.636588 2.735854
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001339 0.035825 0.159897 0.445891 0.959770 1.742232 2.926978
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000771 0.031929 0.154474 0.446437 0.980066 1.800888 3.052271
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000409 0.028562 0.149741 0.447843 1.001575 1.861448 3.180750
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000247 0.027015 0.149997 0.459375 1.040455 1.948632 3.348047
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.026181 0.152261 0.475112 1.086783 2.047574 3.532997